Forum for the Future
9 Imperial Square
27 May 2004
Im very sorry that I cant be with you on June 12th.
I have always liked the idea of the Environmental Time Capsule project. One of the most powerful elements embedded in the concept of sustainable development is the need to address three time-frames simultaneously: the past (in terms of dealing with the often horrendous legacy of our abuse of the Earth since the start of the Industrial Revolution), the present (and we all know how thats proving!), and the future, as in needing to be much more mindful of the rights and expectations of future generations.I cant remember whether this particular capsule contained a vial of oil** the black gold that has driven our economies over the last 70 years or so. But it seems to me that were now very close indeed to that particular tipping point where the demand for oil starts to exceed the supply of oil, with the inevitable consequences that this will entail.
Its at that point when we realise that feeding six or seven or eight billion people without access to cheap fossil fuels is going to be one hell of a stretch, and when the conventional economic development model runs irretrievably into the sand for lack of cheap energy that people will come to realise that population really was the biggest issue all this time. And that our continuing failure to address that population challenge wisely, compassionately and democratically borders on the criminal.
Interesting times ahead!
Yours sincerelyJONATHON PORRITT
**Note from John Guillebaud:
Jonathon is right in believing that fuel was indeed put into the 1994 TC [it was lighter fuel within a cigarette lighter, representing FIRE, to go along with the sealed containers with EARTH, WATER and AIR (which are mentioned in the section recapping what the TC was about) - along also with a petrol cap and most certainly therefore making the ENERGY point that JP makes so well in this letter.]